Gold
and Silver price targets
<<Gold
and Silver Charts>>
Gold price projects
From:
$4,000 Gold! Yes, But When? Since September, 2001, the
exponential growth rate for the national debt averaged 9.7% compounded
annually, while the rate averaged over the last five years is 12.3%.
The exponential growth rate for gold is a bit larger about
18% per year compounded annually. I attribute this larger rate, in
excess of 12.3%, to the realization that gold is a competing currency,
mining supply is growing little, most governments are aggressively
printing money, investors are increasingly interested
in gold, and central banks are buying, not selling gold.
Since gold correlates closely with national debt, we now have a clear,
objective, and believable proxy (national debt) to model the future
price of gold. Extend national debt and gold prices forward for the
next five years based on the exponential increase from the last five
years, and the result is the following table. Bracket gold prices,
high and low, based on past annual volatility at about 15%.
Date |
National Debt $
(in Trillions)
|
Gold Price $
|
Low
|
High
|
9/30/2012 |
16.1
|
1,670
|
-
|
-
|
9/30/2013 |
18.0
|
2,000
|
1,700
|
2,300
|
9/30/2014 |
20.3
|
2,500
|
2,100
|
2,900
|
9/30/2015 |
22.7
|
3000
|
2,550
|
3,450
|
9/30/2016 |
25.5
|
3,650
|
3,100
|
4,200
|
9/30/2017 |
28.7
|
4,400
|
3,750
|
5,050
|
A chart showing the price of gold, on a logarithmic scale, with high
and low trend lines, can suggest when the earliest and latest dates
will reach $4,000. Those dates are November 2015 through June 2017,
which are consistent with the above projection based on the tight
correlation to the national debt.
Gold closing and Silver average price and volume
Average annual price of silver on the London Fix (reference
and reference)
and sales of American Silver Eagles in years 2007 - 2011 (reference
and reference).
Historical Silver (London Fix) average prices in U.S. dollars
and American Silver Eagle sales
Year |
Price $
|
Sales (oz)
|
Notes
|
2003 |
4.85
|
8,495,008
|
|
2004 |
6.65
|
8,882,754
|
|
2005 |
7.22
|
8,891,025
|
|
2006 |
11.57
|
10,676,522
|
|
2007 |
13.39
|
9,887,000
|
|
2008 |
15.02
|
19,583,500
|
|
2009 |
14.66
|
28,766,500
|
|
2010 |
20.16
|
34,662,500
|
|
2011 |
35.11
|
39,868,500
|
|
2012 |
31.15
|
33,742,500
|
US Mint ran out
|
2013 |
--
|
--
|
|
Historical Gold closing prices
Year |
Price $
|
% Gain
|
2000 |
271.50
|
--
|
2001 |
278.10
|
2.43
|
2002 |
347.50
|
24.96
|
2003 |
415.20
|
19.48
|
2004 |
437.10
|
5.27
|
2005 |
516.60
|
18.19
|
2006 |
636.00
|
23.11
|
2007 |
833.30
|
31.02
|
2008 |
880.80
|
5.7
|
2009 |
1,095.60
|
24.39
|
2010 |
1,421.60
|
29.76
|
2011 |
1,566.40
|
10.19
|
Silver in 1980
In 1980, silver spiked to about $143 per ounce in today's (inflation-adjusted)
dollars (reference).
(The actual 1980 high was $49.45 on January 18, 1980, but dropped
precipitously shortly thereafter to a low of $13.99 on March 28, 1980.
The historic low since 1980 was $3.54750 on February 25, 1991,
reference.) Here is the Silver
1980 chart.
Greater consumption
and investment demand. However, it should be noted that the supply
and demand dynamics for silver are very different today. Both industrial
and investment demand has greatly increased these last several years,
and it is expected to continue.
Demand from industry alone is snapping up more than half of the silver
mined each year. Moreover, "Every day, the world takes roughly
1.75 million ounces of silver from the earth. But we consume more
than 2 million ounces. This kind of consumption is quickly drying
up our dwindling silver reserves" (reference).
Greater
commodity distortion in paper to tangible asset. It should be
noted that the daily amount of silver traded at the Comex (i.e. paper
silver) is generally more than 160 times the 2 million ounces of silver
consumed each day. And this is only the futures market for
silver; it does not include SLV (the very popular silver ETF) and
other silver funds. Compare this to oil, which is 5:1 paper to tangible
oil, and we see a very distorted futures market for silver.
Greater number of investors
with more wealth. Since 1980, the world population has increased
by more than 60% (from about 4.3 billion to 7.0 billion individuals).
The number of people that are able to participate in the silver metal
bull market today is much, much higher today than in 1980 because
so many of the people in Asia were prohibited from owning silver then.
Not only can people in Asia own silver today, the government of China
actually encourages its citizens to own precious metals and even makes
them available via state-owned banks. Intuitively, the number of the
world population which can own silver today is probably on the order
of triple what it was in 1980. Perhaps more importantly, the number
of people in the world that have accumulated wealth enough that they
could actually use some of it to purchase silver has grown exponentially.
In 2009 Merrill Lynch estimated that more than 10 million people worldwide
had a net worth in excess of $1 million USD, about 0.15% of the global
population, but for the first time since records have been compiled
the number of millionaires in the Asia-Pacific region (3 million)
exceeded the number in Europe (2.9 million).
Greater monetary supply.
Since 1980 the world money supply has increased by a factor of at
least 10 and probably more than that, meaning worldwide there is something
like 1,000% more dollars, yen, euros, pesos, francs, yuan, etc. in
existence today versus 1980. See Global
Money Supply Data.
Fibonacci moves since 2003
Silver has made Fibonacci
range moves since 2003. The Fibonacci Sequence is 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5,
8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, and so on. Here is the Silver
2003-2011 chart. You will notice that the 2003-2004 breakout
move was roughly $3 (i.e. from $5.49 to $8.42), then the breakout
move from $8.42 to $15.22 was roughly a $7 ($6.80 to be exact),
the 2007-2008 breakout move from $15.22 to $21.34 was roughly $6
($6.12 to be exact), then the 2010-2011 breakout move from $21.34
to $31.23 was $10 ($9.89 to be exact), and the $31.23 to 49.79
breakout move was roughly $19 ($18.56 to be exact). Thus, we
are getting a fibonacci sequence set of numbers--viz. 3, 7
(overshot fib # 5 by 2), 6 (undershot fib # 8
by 2), 10 (undershot fib #13 by 3), and 19 (undershot
fib $21 by 2). Given this pattern, the next fibonacci number in the
sequence is 34 and, as shown in the table below, should yield a price
target of $84 (plus or minus 10-15%).
Breakout date
range |
Price range
|
Increase
|
Fib
|
Over/Under
|
2003-2004 |
$5.49 to $8.42
|
$2.93
|
3
|
--
|
2005-2006 |
$8.42 to $15.22
|
$6.80
|
5
|
+2.8
|
2007-2008 |
$15.22 to $21.34
|
$6.12
|
8
|
-1.88
|
2010-2011 |
$21.34 to $31.23
|
$9.89
|
13
|
-3.11
|
2011 |
$31.23 to $49.79
|
$18.56
|
21
|
-2.44
|
2013-2014 (projected) |
$50.00 to $84.00
|
$34.00
|
34
|
--
|
2015-2016 (projected) |
$84.00 to $139.00
|
$55.00
|
55
|
--
|
The Fibonacci Time Zones
from 2006 high of $15.22 (in 5/7/2006) to 2008 high of $21.34 (in
3/2/2008) is 22 months, from the 2008 high to the first 2011 high
of $31.23 (in 1/2/2011) is 34 months. This suggests that the next
major fibonacci event is 55 months from Jan, 2011 or the summer of
2015. However, the other major high in 2011 of $49.79, was likely
a reset of the time sequence. Thus, with the reset fibonacci
time zones, we get April and December of 2012 as time periods
to watch for possible tops, then December of 2013 or January
of 2014, and finally a top in the June to September 2015
timeframe.
For gold, here is one suggested
by Goldewave,
assuming a parabolic rise.
Waves |
Price $
|
Date
|
Fib
|
% Retrace in time
|
W1 |
1,032
|
03/17/2008
|
|
|
W2 (pullback) |
681
|
10/24/2008
|
34
|
8.7%
|
W3 |
1,920
|
09/06/2011
|
|
|
W4 (pullback) |
1,522
|
12/29/2011
|
21
|
9.0%
|
W5.1 (projected) |
3,495
|
06/01/2013
|
|
|
W5.2 ( pullback) |
3,041
|
07/28/2013
|
13
|
8.8%
|
W5.3 |
6,233
|
04/14/2014
|
|
|
W5.4 ( pullback) |
5,734
|
05/12/2014
|
8
|
8.8%
|
W5.5.1 |
10,899
|
09/19/2014
|
|
|
W5.5.2 ( pullback) |
10,354
|
10/03/2014
|
5
|
8.8%
|
W5.5.3 |
18,712
|
12/14/2014
|
|
|
W5.5.4 ( pullback) |
18,150
|
12/14/2014
|
3
|
8.8%
|
W5.5.5 |
31,672
|
01/16/2015
|
|
|
German Marks in 1919 - 1923
German Marks needed to buy one ounce of gold in the period 1919 -
1923, illustrating what a hyperinflationary event looks like.
Date |
German Marks
|
Projected
|
Jan 1919 |
170
|
|
Sept 1919 |
499
|
|
Jan 1920 |
1,340
|
|
Sept 1920 |
1,201
|
|
Jan 1921 |
1,349
|
<-- We are here
|
Sept 1921 |
2,175
|
<-- End of 2012
|
Jan 1922 |
3,976
|
<-- 2013-2014
|
Sept 1922 |
30,381
|
|
Jan 1923 |
372,477
|
|
Sept 1923 |
269,439,000
|
|
Oct 2, 1923 |
6,631,749,000
|
|
Oct 9, 1923 |
24,868,950,000
|
|
Oct 16, 1923 |
84,969,072,000
|
|
Oct 23, 1923 |
1,160,552,882,000
|
|
Oct 30, 1923 |
1,347,070,000,000
|
|
Nov 5, 1923 |
8,700,000,000,000
|
|
Nov 30, 1923 |
87,000,000,000,000
|
|
20th Century Hyperinflations
When inflation fears rise, fear of fiat currencies grow exponentially.
Nation |
Year(s)
|
Peak Inflation %
|
Angola |
1991-95
|
1 x 10^9
|
Argentina |
1983-92
|
1.5 x 10^9
|
Austria |
1922-23
|
500,000
|
Belarus |
2000-08
|
1 x 10^8
|
Bolivia |
1984-86
|
1 x 10^6
|
Bosnia/Hergez. |
1992-93
|
5 x 10^7
|
Brazil |
1967-94
|
2.75 x 10^18
|
China |
1948-55
|
1.5 x 10^19
|
Georgia |
1993-95
|
1 x 10^6
|
Greece |
1944
|
5 x 10^13
|
Hungary |
1922-24
|
n/a
|
Hungary |
1945-46
|
4 x 10^29
|
Mexico |
1982-92
|
1,000
|
Nicaragua |
1987-90
|
1 x 10^6
|
Peru |
1988-90
|
1 x 10^6
|
Phillipines |
1942-44
|
100
|
Poland |
1921-24
|
1.8 x 10^6
|
Poland |
1989-91
|
10,000
|
Romania |
1990-98
|
5 x 10^6
|
Russia |
1992-98
|
1,000
|
Taiwan |
1944-49
|
4,000
|
Ukraine |
1993-95
|
100,000
|
U.S.S.R. |
1921-22
|
n/a
|
Yugoslavia |
1989-94
|
1.3 x 10^27
|
Zaire |
1989-96
|
3 x 10^11
|
Zimbabwe |
2000-08
|
1 x 10^25
|
Commodity Price Inflation from 2002 to 2012
Take from: United
States 2012 Cash Deficit. All but natural gas has more than doubled
in the past 10 years, with the average being 3.32X. Compare that to
the government's own inflation calculation, CPI, at only 27%. Who
are you going to believe?
Commodity |
2002 $
|
2012 $
|
2012 / 2002 %
|
Silver |
4.66
|
32.77
|
703
|
Gold |
331.92
|
1,721.64
|
519
|
Copper |
1,592.96
|
7,711.23
|
484
|
Oil |
29.44
|
86.69
|
294
|
Diesel |
1.43
|
3.96
|
277
|
Gasoline |
0.81
|
2.82
|
348
|
Natural Gas |
4.75
|
3.34
|
70
|
Coal |
29.50
|
78.21
|
265
|
Wheat |
168.98
|
361.00
|
214
|
Corn |
107.01
|
321.54
|
300
|
Soybean |
208.24
|
533.03
|
256
|
Coffee |
38.52
|
102.94
|
267
|
Rice |
185.27
|
590.73
|
319
|
AVERAGE |
-
|
-
|
332
|
CPI |
-
|
-
|
127
|
Average wages |
15.29
|
20.00
|
131
|
S&P 500 |
879.12
|
1426.19
|
162
|
Money Supply:
- M1 money supply
divided by gold supply. A simple way to determine the revalued
price for gold (if and when the U.S. dollar collapses) is to take
the M1 money supply (see Money
Stock Measures) and divide by the U.S. gold supply (about 8,100
metric tons). For example, as of February, 2011, M1 was 1,873.6 billion;
and divided by the U.S. gold reserves (of 285.7 million ounces) results
in $6,556 per ounce of gold. Jim Rickards explains it in this video
dated September 16, 2010. M2 is the velocity of money. When that increases,
according to Art Cashin (see interview),
then inflation is not far behind. Also see: On
Inflation, M2, and the Velocity of Money (posted 8/10/2012). However,
Mises has a counter argument here: Is
Velocity Like Magic? (posted 3/20/2002).
Notes:
- Silver
Price Forecast: Silver Bull Market Is Following The Structure Of The
70s Bull Market. Posted 5/9/2013. Predicting Silver to $140 by
end of 2013 or early 2014.
- Gold
To Surge Over $460 & Smash Through Key $2,000 Level. Posted
3/14/2013. Top Citi analyst Tom Fitzpatrick issued a bullish call
for gold. He predicts around $1,795 by May-July 2013 which is right
in the middle of the major resistance level of $1,790-1,800. "We
believe we could be seeing a dynamic whereby financial market and
economic conditions in China stop USDCNY from falling, lead to more
USD diversification as a consequence and thereby provide a strong
bid in the market for Gold."
- The
Most Dangerous Gun in Human History. Posted 2/21/2013. What weapon,
what gun, is this? Real Money. Thirty (30) days before the 1999 S&P
500 DOTCOM implosion, Gold hit bottom, after Gold had dropped for
three months. The weapon warned of the implosion that was to come
as real money was converted to fiat funny money in anticipation of
the crash.
Over one year of range bound trading and a sharp decline recently
still keep gold trapped in a long term basing pattern between the
$1280-$1300 range upwards to around $1800-$1825 per ounce. A
retest of the lower end of this range, especially below $1380 indicates
another monetary contraction is underway and a 30%+ correction will
set off a panic in the currency wars and American economy.
The only stability the average American can obtain during this upcoming
period of economic instability is in fact real money loaded with silver
bullets (coinage) as a shield against the hyperinflation which kicks
into high gear after this next market correction.
- Major
Top in Stocks and Major Bottom in Gold. 2/20/2013. The author
expects a similar pattern to the 2007-2008 for the stock market and
oil, but this time it will be the stock market and precious metals.
- Physical
Vs. Paper: Is The Gold/Silver Price Correction Over? Posted 2/19/2013.
My fund partner has been keeping track of the weekly open interest
and COT report positions since early 2005. This chart shows the weekly
hedge fund net long open interest vs. the commercial trader gross
short position. It dates back to May 2005 and runs through Friday's
COT report. You can see from the aligned red circles that the gold
price hits a "cyclical" bottom after a period in which the
large hedge fund net long position hits a low point and the commercial
gross short position also hits a "high" point (the short
position is negative, so a high point on that data series represents
a low short position). Using this information, it appears to me that
the current sell-off in gold/silver is at or near an end.
- Gold
At $10,000 Silver At $400 Heres How It Will Happen.
Posted 1/29/2013. Bubbles tend to follow the 80/20 ratio indicated
in the Pareto Principle. Phase 1 takes approximately 70-80% of the
time and covers approximately 10-20% of the total price change. Phase
2 accelerates so that it takes only 20-30% of the time but covers
80-90% of the price change. Extreme bubbles such as the South Sea
Bubble and the Silver bubble experience approximately 90% of the price
change in the 2nd phase. The ratio of the phase 2 ending price to
beginning price is typically 4 to 8 a huge price move.
Assume that silver began its uptrend in November 2001 at $4.01 and
that gold began its move in April 2001 at $255. Silver rallied to
nearly $50 in 2011, and gold also rallied to a new high of about $1,900
in 2011. Assume that both surpass those highs about mid-2013 and accelerate
into phase 2 thereafter. Using these assumptions, phase 1 for silver
would measure 12.5 years and phase 2 could last until approximately
late 2016 early 2017. If we assume that phase 1 was a move
from $4 to $50 and that represents 19% of the total move, the high
could be around $250. The ratio of phase 2 ending price to beginning
price would be 5:1 reasonable.
- Rosen
- Expect Stunning $233 For Silver As It Begins To Soar. Posted
1/18/2013. The $233 target could come as early as March, 2014.
- The
Dow Silver Ratio. Posted 12/27/2012. How long do we have until
a single tube of 20 American Silver Eagle Coins is sufficient to purchase
a single share of the Dow Jones Industrial Average? Currently, the
ratio is about 500 silver coins to 1 share of the DOW. At the peak
in the 1980s, the gold silver ratio went to 17 silver coins to 1 DOW
share.
- The
Roadmap For $3,000+ Gold, $100+ Silver & 1,650 HUI. Posted
11/21/2012. Predicting $3,000 gold and $115 silver by February, 2014.
Good charts to back up the prediction.
- $4,000
Gold! Yes, But When? Posted 11/5/2012. Projects $4000 gold in
late 2015 or mid-2017. This assumes a current annual growth rate of
between 10% and 12% for the national debt. This is conditioned on
a massive and devastating financial and economic melt-down NOT occurring
in the next four to six years. Such an event would cause the price
of gold to skyrocket, of course.
- Some
Incredible Gold [and Silver] Charts. Posted 10/31/2012.
- $2,300
Gold, Here We Come. Posted 10/15/2012.
- How
A 12th Century Mathematician Just Doomed Bernanke's Wealth Effect.
Posted 9/25/2012. Suggests the rally from June on Bernanke's anticipated
QE3 (or QE-Infinity) may end this week and a pullback of 47 days will
ensue into early November, 2012 before the next run.
- Forget
the $ - 1oz of Silver for 45 Acres! Posted 9/20/2012. Ratio investing.
One denarius (or the equivalent of 1/10th of an ounce of silver) for
one day's wages. The author calculates that the Louisiana Purchase
of 529,920,000 acres of land was made for 729,300 oz. of gold or 11,668,800
oz. of silver (using 16:1 ratio). Thus, 45 acres were purchased for
1 oz. of silver. Another approach is: That the purchase was done for
15 million dollars back in 1803. Back then, the silver dollar was
0.7735 oz. of silver. Thus, the Louisiana Purchase was made for approximately
11,602,000 troy oz. of silver. The author speculates a possible 1:1
ratio of 1 acre for 1 oz. of silver when the economic collapse arrives.
- $50
Silver "Virtually Guaranteed". Posted 9/18/2012. With
gold having passed $1700 (twice the 1980 nominal high of $850) already,
it stands to reason that $100 (twice the 1980 nominal high of $50)
silver could be virtually guaranteed. Please note that the gold to
silver ratio back in 1980 was 17:1, so a similar ratio (possible smaller,
such as 10:1) should occur at some point in the coming spike.
- Silver
Price Forecast: Is Silver Fast On Its Way To $50?. Posted 9/17/2012.
Very good analysis of the current silver price.
- What
Will Be Scarce: Liquidity and Reliable Income Streams. Posted
8/30/2012. A good summary discussion of scarcity, cost basis,
opportunity cost, Also, the trend toward access versus
ownership. For example, the trend is toward access (i.e. carpooling,
renting, etc.) of autos and homes versus ownership. In the United
States, what will be scarce is income, not commodities. The
corollary is: All capital sunk into ownership-model assets such as
vehicles and homes will become trapped capital (i.e. they will
become illiquid, since there will be little demand for these
assets). The trend of declining income for labor and the decline of
the ownership model of resource-intensive assets such as vehicles
and homes will continue into the future. Thus, the importance for
finding reliable income and liquidity (the ability to sell
assets quickly and safely for cash) going forward. The future of investing
is "Local Control."
- Silver
likely to outperform Gold, Copper in Q4 2012: TD Securities. Posted
7/3/2012. According to BNP Paribas, "An improving macroeconomic
outlook and high risk appetite should see silver outperform gold for
most of H212 and 2013 although silver, like gold, remains vulnerable
to waves of liquidation. As a result, the gold/silver ratio should
decline to the low 40s by H213.
- Jim
Sinclairs Most Important Message in 10 Years: Gold
to Target $3,500. Posted 7/3/2012. Jim Sinclair predicting that,
in one to three years, gold will hit $3,500.
- Can
We Profit From Gold Price Seasonality? Posted 2/12/2012. Price
projections for gold for 2012. Suggests $1,950 to $2,200 by end of
year.
- Golds
Role During Periods Of Monetary Stress. Posted 2/9/2012. Golds
job is, and will always attempt to, during periods of monetary stress,
balance the INTERNATIONAL Balance Sheet of the USA. The equation is:
Price of Gold = External
Debt / 260,272,000 (ounces of U.S. gold; i.e. 8,133 tonnes). The
external debt is currently slightly under $5 trillion; thus, the gold
price should be a little over $19K.
- James
Turk reaffirms his $400 long-term silver target. Posted 1/31/2012.
A 20-minute presentation where James Turk outline the reasons behind
the $400 price target in the 2013-2015 timeframe. You need to register
to watch the video. Essentially, he believes gold will go to $8,000
and the gold/silver ratio will be 20:1 by then, or a $400 price for
silver.
- The
'Gold Bubble' In Perspective. Posted 1/31/2012. Charts comparing
gold's price to the monetary aggregates M2, MZM (money of zero maturity),
and S&P 500 index.
- Silver
Price Forecast 2012:I Stand By $140 Silver Price In 2012. Posted
1/26/2012. Similar pattern to the 70s. See here.
- When
Will Silver Reach a New High? Posted 1/23/2012. If the averages
of the prior corrections are any indication, silver will break to
new highs in May, 2013. However, what's different now is that both
industrial and investment demand for silver continue to be strong.
- The
Possibility of $1,000 Silver before Hyperinflation. Posted 1/3/2012.
Assumes gold to reach $10,000 and silver $1,000 or a 10:1 ratio--i.e.
silver overshoots its current ratio to gold.
- Gold
on the Cusp of $3,000+: An Update. Posted 12/19/2011. Uses fractals
to arrive at the price target. Was accurate on target of $1920 in
2011.
- Keynote
Speech At Sydney Gold Symposium 14-15 November 2011 By Alf Field.
Alf Field concludes that there is at least an 80% probability that
the silver correction bottomed at $26.59 back in September 26, 2011.
As for gold, he believes that there is a 40% probability for a retest
of the range of $1478 to $1576. The higher the price goes above $1767,
the greater the probability that the low was in at $1531 back in September
26, 2011. Once this correction has been completed, Intermediate Wave
III of Major THREE will be underway. This should be the largest and
strongest wave in the entire gold bull market. The target for this
wave should be around $4,500 with only two 13% corrections on the
way.
- Silver
Update 11-9-11 Range Expansion. Posted November 9, 2011. Good
discussion on increasing silver range moves from 2004.
- Gold
is not in a Bubble: Its on its way to $10,000 an ounce.
Posted October 11, 2011. We can look at three features of golds
rise that tell us, it is not only not in a bubble but, it will almost
certainly rise to $10,000 an ounce and beyond. These features are:
(1) the loss of purchasing power of global currencies, (2) the inflationary
effects of money creation, (3) Irreversible trends will continue to
cause gold to rise. Three of the most significant "irreversible"
trends are: (a) the aging population, (b) outsourcing, (c) peak oil.
- Goldrunner:
The Gold Tsunami Wave Cycle. Posted September 25, 2011. Compares
price action in gold/silver to the 1970s.Expecting 3 momentum runs
over the next few years with the first already completed. Looking
for a potential "bottom" next week (i.e. 1st week of October)
and the beginning of the next wave higher. Upside targets for Silver
for this next run into late 2011/ early 2012 of $52 to $56 should
be achievable for silver, with $58 to $62 as real possibilities. Golds
run will reach the $2250 level and $2500 level before a higher run
takes us up to $3,000 Gold, or higher. 'We believe that we lie at
a load the boat moment in this historic Gold and Silver
bull for Gold, Silver, and the PM stocks.'
- Silver
getting ready for a breakout: Buy on weakness before the end of October
(2011).
- The
U.S. goes Ka-Poom in roughly 2013-2014. It has parallel features
to the Argentina's 2001 Economic Collapse.
- $8,000
GOLD and $400 SILVER by 2013 - 2015: James Turk [Part 1 of 2].
YouTube uploaded on May 29, 2011.
- Eric
Sprott and James Turk on SILVER. Posted August 5, 2011. "Silver
will be the investment of this decade."
- The
Imminent $2.5 Trillion Debt Ceiling Hike Will Unleash A Gold Price
Surge To $1,950 And Higher. Posted August 1, 2011.
- Gold
Faces Short-Term Price Trap. Posted July 29, 2011. Pullback in
gold prices based on U.S. debt ceiling resolution and re-emergance
of global recessionary forces. However, an ultimate currency collapse
will send gold prices even higher.
- Gold
Special Report: Erste Group. Posted July 4, 2011. A 91-page report
detailing everything related to Gold.
- Why
Gold Above $15,000 Per Ounce By 2020 Is Realistic Without Hyperinflation.
Posted June 10, 2011.
- Seasonal
Gold Price Trends Favor Summer Purchases. Posted June 3, 2011.
Shows annual charts going back to 2001.
- Silver's
Destiny with 200. Predicting a pullback to the 200 day moving
average which is currently at $28.79 (as of 5-6-2011) sometime in
the summer.
- Silver
Criticality - Why Silver Might Crash. Ben Davies sees a correction
into August and then new highs by EOY or 2012. See Interview.
- Seasonality
of silver. Suggests the summer months (June - August) is the best
time to buy.
- Silver
approaching intermediate top in April/May 2011. Dated April 21,
2011.
- Gold
value presentation developed in 2010 by Paul Tustain, founder
of BullionVault.com. His valuation on gold sets a conservative target
price of close to $4,000 per ounce.
- Gold
and Silver price targets. Fractal analysis developed in March,
2011 giving a May-June, 2011 target of $52-56 for silver and $1860-$1975
for gold.
- Update!
These 86 Analysts Now on $5,000 Gold Bandwagon.
- $300
Silver is beginning to look conservative! Here's why
- QE2
and the Fate of the U.S. Economy. Argues for a buying opportunity
in precious metals coming this summer, 2011.
- What
If Precious Metals 'Mania' Hits India Or China? (Part I)? And
Part
II
- Chinas
"Rare" Commodity Monopoly Threatens U.S., Leeb Says (video).
Includes comment on industrial use of silver rocketing silver past
$100.
- The
Devaluation Against Gold Is The Inflation. Excellent interview
on gold on various points. Mr. Rickards targets gold at $7,000 or
higher if 1980 is repeated.
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